Page 148 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - MARTIOS 2023
P. 148

FREIGHT MARKETS



          Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 was at the core of a new global crisis at a                                native consumers and vice versa, drove
          time when the global economy hadn’t recovered yet from the pandemic disruptions and lock-                                freight rates to record highs in 2022.   VLCC
          downs. The sanctions against Russia that followed sent energy prices soaring - in March                                  During 2022, 708 tankers were sold,                                                       77
          2022, the WTI climbed to $120/barrel, the highest level since August 2008 - and triggered                                183 more than in 2021 - the highest
          a wave of inflation the likes of which the global economy had not seen for decades.                                      volume since 1995. As can be seen in
                                                                                                                                   the pie chart, the main interest was   Suezmax
                                                                                                                                   in the MR2, Aframax/LR2 and Chem-
                                                                                                                                   ical sectors, which account for 79%                                                       60
                                                                                                                                   of the total tanker sales. The VLCC
                                                                                                                                   sector  was the only sector  whose
                                                                                                                                   sales volume decreased by about 9%   Aframax / LR2
                                                                                                                                   in 2022 compared to 2021.
                            THE EFFECTS                                                                                            Furthermore, the age preference,                                                         153
                                                                                                                                   as in 2021, was for ships between 11
                            OF THE                                                                                                 and 20 years, which represent 72% of
                                                                                                                                   2022’s transactions as these asset
                            UKRAINE WAR                                                                                            ages were considered better priced,   Panamax / LR1
                                                                                                                                   and age-wise, they were acceptable
                            ON THE TANKER                                                                                          by the major oil traders. Increased                                                       58
                                                                                                                                   buying appetite for tankers has firmed
                            MARKET                                                                                                 up second-hand prices. From January   MR1
                                                                                                                                   2022 to December 2022, 10-year-old
                                                                                                                                   second-hand prices rose by 40% in the                                                     87
                                                                                                                                   VLCC sector, while 10-year-old sec-
                                                                                                                                   ond-hand prices in the Suezmax, Afra-
                                                                                                                                   max/LR2, and MR sectors increased
                                                                                                                                   by around 50%. For instance, in Feb-  MR2
                                                                                                                                   ruary 2022, the LR2 “Phoenix Hope”
                                                                                                                                   was sold for about USD 18.25 mill,
                                                                                                                                   whilst 7 months later, the same vessel                                                   173
                                                                                                                                   (renamed to Keros Voyager) was sold
                                                                                                                                   for USD 36 mill.
                                                                                                                                   During 2022, we observed a renewed
                                                                                                                                   interest in ship-to-ship transfers in the  Small (>=10,000)
                                                                                                                                   Mediterranean, with cargoes either
                                           Europe’s gradual moving away from   pandemic, many refineries were shut                 being combined onto larger vessels or                                                    100
                                           Russian oil has benefited the Suez-  down due to the declining demand                   transferred from Ice-classed tankers
                                           max and Aframax markets, given the   and low oil consumption, triggering                to others to allow those vessels to be
                                           short-and medium-haul demand for   issues in many countries, especially in
                                           North Sea, West Africa, and US crude.   Europe, and pushing the seaborne oil
                                           On 18 February 2022, just one week  trade mainly from East of Suez to the
                                           before the Russian-Ukraine conflict   West. As a result, clean tankers bene-             2022                                              2021
                                           commenced, the Aframax TCE paid   fited from the increase in tonne miles.
                                           USD 4,411/day. However, by the end of   For example, on 18 February 2022, the            Vessel Type   0-5Y  6-10Y 11-15Y 16-20Y 20+Y  Total Vessel Type  0-5Y  6-10Y 11-15Y 16-20Y 20+Y  Total
                                           2022, it had risen significantly to USD   MR Pacific Basket and the MR Atlantic          Small (>=10,000) 18  7   50     15    10    100   Small (>=10,000) 8  10   37     8     6     69
                                           73,004/day after peaking at around  Basket paid USD 7,969/day and USD
                                           USD 125K/day at the end of Novem-  15,658/day, respectively. However, by                 MR1           6    10    34     32    5     87    MR1          2     2     18     8     2     32
                                           ber 2022.                         the end of 2022, those rates surged
                                           Furthermore, the Suezmax TCE rate   to USD 57,851/day and USD 35,964/                    MR2           10   36    80     38    9     173   MR2          30    17    61     21    2     131
                                           was negative, reaching USD -1,820/  day, respectively.                                   PANAMAX/LR1   0    11    24     23    0     58    PANAMAX/LR1  4     4     20     12    0     40
                                           day in mid-February 2022, while it   The booming of the tanker market,
                                           closed the year at USD 83,640/day.  driven by the Russian invasion of                    AFRAMAX/LR2   10   10    56     67    10    153   AFRAMAX/LR2   24   10    40     41    4     119
                                           Another boost for the wet market was   Ukraine and sanctions on Russian oil,             SUEZMAX       3    9     12     33    3     60    SUEZMAX       5    5     5      19    5     39
          by Eirini Diamantara,            that refineries increased production as   led the second-hand tanker market to
          Research Analyst,                they imported great volumes of crude   heat up in 2022. High oil prices and              VLCC          14   7     17     32    7     77    VLCC          28   3     17     30    7     85
          Research & Valuations Dept.      oil due to the post-pandemic recov-  the increase in tonne miles, triggered
          Xclusiv Shipbrokers Inc.                                                                                                  Total         61   90    273    240   44    708   Total         101  51    198    139   26    515
                                           ery of oil consumption. But during the   by oil suppliers’ efforts to find alter-

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