Page 279 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - ΜΑΙΟΣ 2024
P. 279

TANKER MARKET                                                despite the holiday season. This indicated ship-
                                                                         owners’ confidence in methanol as a fuel for a
            Freight Market                                               future with lower carbon emissions. In February,
            In January, the global crude tanker map and flows            the newbuilding market experienced a slowdown
            underwent another restructuring due to the ongo-             compared to the robust activity seen in the sale
            ing Red Sea crisis and recent international sanc-            and purchase (S&P) market during this period.
            tions against Russia. OPEC projects an increase              In March, tanker ordering, especially for VLCCs,
            in global oil demand driven by the booming Chi-              surged, led by Greek companies investing in envi-
            nese economy. The ongoing Red Sea crisis has                 ronmentally friendly vessels with scrubbers and
            benefited the product tanker market due to the               LNG capabilities. Robust sale and purchase (S&P)
            increased diesel and fuel supplies to the EU. How-           activity, particularly in the Capesize and Newcas-
            ever, freight costs, delivery times, and product             tlemax segments, highlighted the Greek buyers’
            prices have been dramatically impacted.                      predominance.
            In February, the tanker market recorded high                 In April, there was a noticeably strong demand
            freight rates, especially in the product sector,             for modern tankers, as indicated by the increased
            marking a departure from previous downward                   shipbuilding activity and high interest in vessels
            trends. This surge was primarily attributed to the           for sale.
            ongoing crisis in the Middle East and rising bun-
                                                                         Demolitions
       1,800.00                                            BDTI index    In January, the ship recycling market experi-
                                                           BCTI index    enced a downturn due to a lack of vintage ton-
                                                                         nage on offer.
                                                                         In February and March, the ship recycling market
                                                                         faced challenges marked by stagnation and cau-
                                                                         tious trading in key regions such as India, Bangla-
                                                                         desh, Pakistan, and Turkey. Owners hesitated to
                                                                         scrap vessels due to improving freight rates and
                                                                         rising second-hand values, limiting vessel sales,
                                                                         particularly of older units.
                                                                         Despite the challenges, including a downturn in
                                                                         ship recycling rates, a rebound was anticipated in
                                                                         March and April, driven by upcoming newbuilding
           0                                                             deliveries and changes in consumer behaviour.
               03.01.2023                                      03.03.2024

            Graph 1: Baltic Dirty Tanker and Clean Tanker Index  60,000,000  Tankers Orderbook (DWT)         9%
                                                                         Total Tanker Orderbook % Fleet
            ker prices. Additionally, impending US sanctions                                                 8%
            on Venezuela’s oil industry raised concerns about   50,000,000
            potential disruptions to oil supply, adding further                                              7%
            complexity to market dynamics.
            March witnessed dynamic activity across the   40,000,000                                         6%
            tanker market. Positive freight market prospects
            were anticipated despite challenges, with rising                                                 5%
            costs for crude tankers and declining rates for   30,000,000
            product tankers.                                                                                 4%
            In April, analysis pointed towards a potential
            rise in demand for crude and product tankers,   20,000,000                                       3%
            driven by geopolitical tensions and increased
            orders. Emerging oil markets like Namibia could                                                  2%
            offer new opportunities for the tanker industry,   10,000,000
            with significant hydrocarbon potential attracting                                                1%
            major investments.
                                                     0                                                       0%
            Newbuilding - Sales & Purchase                Jan 23                                        Mar 24
            During January, shipbuilding recorded a surge in
            orders for various vessel types, including VLOCs,   Graph 2: Orderbook for Tankers


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