Page 141 - ΝΑΥΤΙΚΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΑ - MARTIOS 2023
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FREIGHT MARKETS







































 and pushed the market into contango.   onstream in approximately 4 to 5 years   C
 Seeking to capture this contango and  and create fresh demand for newbuild   M
 not sell their cargoes at a prompt dis-  vessels in 2027-2028. In the meantime,   Y
 count, market participants started  the record number of vessels already on   CM
 floating their cargoes for long periods.   order will be delivered in time to cover
 MY
 Indicatively, at some point in November,   production that will come on stream from
 more than 40 vessels were floating out-  the previous round of under-construc-  CY
 side the EU, waiting to discharge at the   tion projects. These under-construction   CMY
 right time. That significantly increased   mega projects are set to commence   K
 tonne-time (utilisation) and kept vessels   production between 2024-2027 and
 employed for longer under their US Gulf   absorb the large number of carriers on
 -> EU rotations. While this was happen-  order, which has exhausted the capacity
 ing in Europe, the Far East saw very  of the Korean yards until 2027. In the
 muted demand for LNG due to healthy   last 24 months, the price for a newbuild
 stockpiles, a mild winter, and lower-  174,000cbm 2-stroke LNG carrier has
 than-usual industrial power demand,  risen by roughly $60 million compared
 especially from China, which had not   to the mid-high $180mil for a unit deliv-
 lifted COVID-19 restrictions. Owing to   ered in 2023 to the low $250mil for
 its stronger pricing relative to the Far   earliest delivery in 2027. Owners who
 East (accounting for the cost of shipping   have placed orders in time will be able
 to either destination), Europe pulled   to command significant premiums for
 65% of US cargoes in October, 76% in   long-term charters as charterers have
 November, 75% in December and 72% in   run out of options for modern carriers in
 January, based on cargo data from Kpler.  the front (2023-2026). Indicatively, the
 As we leave this winter behind us and   rate for a 10-year charter of a modern
 look ahead to the mid and long-term,   2-stroke carrier with delivery in 2024
 there are several elements which lend  has risen YoY by nearly $25,000/day
 support to a bullish outlook for LNG   from roughly mid $70s/day in Q1 2022   Greece. Operations Head Office: 43, Iroon Polytechniou Ave., 185 35 Piraeus
           Offices: Ag. Theodoroi / Alexandroupolis / Aliveri (Mylaki Port) / Chalkis / Eleusis
 shipping. Several US-based LNG liq-  to low $100s/day in Q1 2023. In addition,   Kavala / Lavrion / Patras / Thessaloniki / Volos / Yali (Island)
 uefaction projects are on the cusp of   Korean and Chinese yards are operating   Cyprus. 38, Spyrou Kyprianou Str., 4042 Germasogeia, Limassol
 reaching Final Investment Decisions   at full capacity, and demand for modern   Besides the ports/locations that we cover via our offices  appearing on the relevant list,
 (FIDs) and moving ahead with con-  LNG carriers is only expected to grow   the agency covers all Greek ports through our local correspondence.
 struction. These new volumes will come   with more production facilities receiving

           ops@mylakiltd.gr / www.mylakiltd.gr
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